Pre-tourney Rankings
South Alabama
Sun Belt
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#241
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#233
Pace70.6#105
Improvement+0.3#156

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#268
First Shot-2.9#260
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#236
Layup/Dunks+0.6#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#237
Freethrows-0.4#201
Improvement+1.8#80

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#202
First Shot-2.2#237
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#68
Layups/Dunks-0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#224
Freethrows-2.2#307
Improvement-1.5#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 231   @ UNLV W 76-68 39%     1 - 0 +6.1 +2.3 +3.5
  Nov 18, 2016 276   Florida International W 69-64 OT 67%     2 - 0 -4.4 -13.4 +8.8
  Nov 19, 2016 282   Youngstown St. W 84-75 70%     3 - 0 -1.2 -2.2 +0.2
  Nov 20, 2016 286   Jacksonville W 71-58 70%     4 - 0 +2.6 -4.0 +7.5
  Nov 26, 2016 225   @ Eastern Illinois L 62-72 37%     4 - 1 -11.5 -10.4 -1.1
  Nov 30, 2016 316   @ Southern Miss W 78-55 61%     5 - 1 +15.2 +7.5 +8.6
  Dec 03, 2016 56   Middle Tennessee L 55-67 13%     5 - 2 -4.9 -7.8 +1.4
  Dec 10, 2016 322   @ Stetson L 78-87 63%     5 - 3 -17.3 -8.5 -8.0
  Dec 13, 2016 194   Denver L 51-64 47%     5 - 4 -17.2 -17.3 -2.2
  Dec 16, 2016 162   Samford L 79-82 40%     5 - 5 -5.4 -1.5 -3.7
  Dec 22, 2016 70   @ Mississippi L 58-92 8%     5 - 6 -23.6 -12.3 -9.8
  Jan 02, 2017 129   Troy W 76-75 34%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +0.3 +0.1 +0.1
  Jan 07, 2017 128   @ Georgia St. L 77-78 19%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +3.4 +5.9 -2.4
  Jan 09, 2017 181   @ Georgia Southern L 79-84 OT 26%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -3.2 -4.5 +1.9
  Jan 14, 2017 174   Texas St. W 72-67 OT 42%     7 - 8 2 - 2 +2.1 +2.4 +0.0
  Jan 16, 2017 81   Texas Arlington L 83-89 21%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -2.4 +5.5 -7.4
  Jan 21, 2017 235   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 56-73 39%     7 - 10 2 - 4 -19.1 -15.4 -3.7
  Jan 23, 2017 136   @ Arkansas St. L 62-74 20%     7 - 11 2 - 5 -8.0 -3.8 -5.3
  Jan 28, 2017 181   Georgia Southern W 78-66 44%     8 - 11 3 - 5 +8.7 +4.4 +4.7
  Jan 30, 2017 128   Georgia St. L 80-83 34%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -3.6 +6.5 -10.1
  Feb 04, 2017 129   @ Troy W 76-71 19%     9 - 12 4 - 6 +9.3 +7.9 +1.8
  Feb 11, 2017 260   @ Louisiana Monroe W 66-63 44%     10 - 12 5 - 6 -0.2 -3.5 +3.5
  Feb 13, 2017 151   @ Louisiana L 61-87 22%     10 - 13 5 - 7 -22.8 -17.1 -4.7
  Feb 18, 2017 272   Appalachian St. W 87-74 66%     11 - 13 6 - 7 +3.7 +4.7 -1.6
  Feb 20, 2017 201   Coastal Carolina L 77-81 OT 49%     11 - 14 6 - 8 -8.8 -2.0 -6.5
  Feb 25, 2017 81   @ Texas Arlington L 75-86 11%     11 - 15 6 - 9 -2.3 +3.2 -5.0
  Feb 27, 2017 174   @ Texas St. L 64-90 25%     11 - 16 6 - 10 -23.8 -3.5 -21.4
  Mar 02, 2017 235   Arkansas Little Rock L 57-62 59%     11 - 17 6 - 11 -12.2 -8.9 -4.0
  Mar 04, 2017 136   Arkansas St. W 73-70 36%     12 - 17 7 - 11 +1.9 +10.7 -8.3
  Mar 08, 2017 201   Coastal Carolina L 67-80 40%     12 - 18 -15.2 -6.7 -8.4
Projected Record 12.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%